Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.068915 0.076295 0.084386 0.093960 0.105035 0.117516 0.132741
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.057897 0.067915 0.079799 0.095120 0.114620 0.138992 0.172383
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.050468 0.061883 0.076282 0.096181 0.123634 0.161239 0.218661
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.044613 0.056619 0.072517 0.095763 0.130085 0.181031 0.266983
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.040667 0.053143 0.070367 0.096842 0.138419 0.204983 0.328923
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.037562 0.050328 0.068598 0.097947 0.146692 0.230476 0.402341
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.034954 0.047856 0.066913 0.098749 0.154397 0.256659 0.487408
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032555 0.045401 0.064893 0.098596 0.160260 0.280769 0.578784
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.030268 0.042870 0.062436 0.097282 0.163642 0.300721 0.670142
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.028927 0.041661 0.061931 0.099223 0.173512 0.337098 0.826059
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.027108 0.039528 0.059668 0.097647 0.175970 0.357377 0.947985
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.025926 0.038319 0.058832 0.098586 0.183850 0.393246 1.149271
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.024552 0.036713 0.057199 0.097863 0.188172 0.422106 1.354299
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023612 0.035762 0.056633 0.099190 0.197528 0.468663 1.688443
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022730 0.034841 0.056031 0.100354 0.206795 0.519090 2.115690
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021716 0.033616 0.054756 0.099931 0.212021 0.559219 2.556416
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020985 0.032836 0.054241 0.101080 0.221656 0.619271 3.261952
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020313 0.032112 0.053767 0.102254 0.231677 0.686422 4.221160
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019655 0.031368 0.053187 0.103105 0.241035 0.756786 5.485108
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018939 0.030471 0.052228 0.102943 0.247401 0.818764 6.966446
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018151 0.029394 0.050827 0.101552 0.249706 0.864147 8.503883
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017753 0.029022 0.050830 0.103608 0.263620 0.977117 12.258686
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017034 0.028003 0.049418 0.101938 0.264795 1.024300 15.151623